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Republicans hope for a House majority as Congress returns to session

AYESHA RASCOE, HOST:

Control of the U.S. House of Representatives is still up in the air, with some races like California not - like some, in California, not called yet. For now, it seems like Republicans will hold on to power with a narrow majority. For more on what this might mean for the next Congress, let's bring in NPR's Barbara Sprunt. Good morning, Barbara.

BARBARA SPRUNT, BYLINE: Good morning.

RASCOE: So how significant would it be for Republicans to have the White House, the Senate and possibly the House?

SPRUNT: Well, unified government would give Republicans the opportunity to aggressively pursue and pass a very partisan agenda. House majority leader Steve Scalise laid out the vision for President-elect Trump's first couple of months of office on Fox News.

(SOUNDBITE OF ARCHIVED RECORDING)

STEVE SCALISE: We've already talked to President Trump about this - a bill called budget reconciliation. And there are a lot of things you could put in that. We laid it out as a first hundred-day agenda, and we would put things like renewing the Trump tax cuts, many of those which expire, that we passed in 2017. We want to renew those cuts.

SPRUNT: He said other agenda items are cutting regulations, implementing new energy policies and taking actions along the southern border.

RASCOE: House Speaker Mike Johnson has had the thinnest of majorities the last few years. Do you expect as much infighting among Republicans in the next Congress?

SPRUNT: In many ways, no. I mean, look - could there be disagreements and factions within the conference? Absolutely. But remember, they are mostly unified by President-elect Trump and the mandate that came from him winning by the margins that he did. They're going from being the one Republican-controlled element of government under the Biden administration to being potentially part of unified government. And that's a big culture shift, and it's a completely different power dynamic. Trump will be leading a lot of the policy agenda, and this Congress will be in charge of executing that agenda. And that's very different than what has been going on, which was Republican members debating and choosing an opposition strategy against Democrats in the White House.

RASCOE: So how so?

SPRUNT: Well, you might remember that Speaker Johnson had a difficult task in satisfying groups within his conference, like the far-right House Freedom Caucus. That came into play when Johnson was trying to avoid a government shutdown. And to do that, he had to negotiate with Democrats. The same was true with negotiations around the debt limit and funding for Ukraine.

RASCOE: But before they turn the page to 2025, Congress is back in session this week, and they do have some work they have to get done, right?

SPRUNT: They do. Well, Congress has to take some actions to keep the government open later this year. But for now, the big-ticket item is a leadership election. So Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell is stepping down from leadership. We don't yet know who exactly will take his place, but it's a pretty fair bet that his first name will be John. The top two contenders are Senator John Cornyn of Texas, Senator John Thune of South Dakota. Cornyn previously served in leadership. Thune is currently the second highest-ranking Senate Republican. And Florida Senator Rick Scott is also running to be leader. He's a Trump loyalist who challenged McConnell for that top post a couple of years ago.

And then, of course, you have the House. Johnson has been vocal for a while now about his intention to remain speaker. He's expected to be reelected this week. And House Democrats will hold their own leadership elections the following week.

RASCOE: That's NPR's Barbara Sprunt. Thank you so very much.

SPRUNT: Thank you. Transcript provided by NPR, Copyright NPR.

NPR transcripts are created on a rush deadline by an NPR contractor. This text may not be in its final form and may be updated or revised in the future. Accuracy and availability may vary. The authoritative record of NPR’s programming is the audio record.

Barbara Sprunt is a producer on NPR's Washington desk, where she reports and produces breaking news and feature political content. She formerly produced the NPR Politics Podcast and got her start in radio at as an intern on NPR's Weekend All Things Considered and Tell Me More with Michel Martin. She is an alumnus of the Paul Miller Reporting Fellowship at the National Press Foundation. She is a graduate of American University in Washington, D.C., and a Pennsylvania native.
Ayesha Rascoe is a White House correspondent for NPR. She is currently covering her third presidential administration. Rascoe's White House coverage has included a number of high profile foreign trips, including President Trump's 2019 summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in Hanoi, Vietnam, and President Obama's final NATO summit in Warsaw, Poland in 2016. As a part of the White House team, she's also a regular on the NPR Politics Podcast.